For tracking purposes 1 unit will be equal to $100
Week 11 Recap
Season Starting Money: $1000
Week 11 Starting Money: $705
We were finally able to flip our luck this week and get back on the winning trail. We cashed bets that had odds of +400, +400, +126, and a long shot of +1158. We were due to have a big week and we finally hit.
You win some and you lose some, but it feels way better to win some.
Week 12 Starting Money: $1215
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Week 12
There are not a lot of great games in week 12 and we are left with subpar betting slate. This week you are going to have to make some choices on how comfortable you feel playing Tennessee props against UGA’s defense and Arizona props against Utah’s defense.
I would not overextend yourself this week and instead take some low stake shots.
Georgia vs Tennessee
Tennessee is coming of an embarrassing loss to Missouri while Georgia dominated a good Ole Miss team. It is scary, but the best odds on the day come from this game and you will have to be ok with making plays against this elite UGA defense.
Joe Milton won us money last week and I will be going right back to the well. He has thrown for over 250 yards in his last four games and the odds of him doing that again are at +280. You can even back off that number down to 200 yards and still get it for a nice -145.
Squirrel White and Jaylen Wright are another two players that we took shots on last week and I again will be looking for one of them to pop. White has 40+ yards in his last four games and you can get him at -270 to continue that trend. Wright was held in check last week but has still managed to top the 100-yard mark in three of his last five games. It is always a long shot to take a running back against Georgia’s defense but for +800 it might be worth a dart.
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For Georgia they are continuing to turn over the reins to Carson Beck. He is getting more and more freedom as the year goes on and they are now allowing him to push the ball down the field. He has topped in the 250-yard mark in his all of his last five games and he has hit the 300-yard mark in three of those. For -300 odds his 250 mark is a good parlay piece and his 300-yard mark for +125 is a good stand-alone shot.
Last week Tennessee was dominated on the ground and this week Daijun Edwards will look to do more of the same. He has 60 yards in all four of his last games and you can get that for -275. If you think he will dominate the Tennessee front then you can get the 100+ yard bet for +235.
Pac-12
The two best games of the day come from the Pac-12. If you project the Utah and Arizona game to be a low scoring affair then you can stay away from that game, but I see some points being put up on the board.
Bryson Barnes has been slowly coming along this season and his pass attempts have been creeping up every game. For him to top 225 yards you can get +500 odds which seems way too high to not take a shot on.
For Arizona Tetarioa McMillian and Jonah Coleman are the two players that jump out to me. McMillian has gone over 60 yards in all 5 of his last games and you can get -200 odds for him to do that again. You can even get him +125 to go over 80 yards which he has done four of his last five games. Jonah Coleman has topped 50 yards running the ball in his last five games and topped 70 yards four of those. For -180 and +160 both of those numbers seem like good deals.
The other Pac-12 game should not have a shortage of offense and we love to see that. Washington continues to trot out the best Wide Receiver trio in football and it is hard not to love them every single week. Rome Odunze is the best receiver in football not named Marvin Harrison and you can get him to have a 100+ yard game for +115. The other most consistent receiver has been Ja’Lynn Polk. He has gone for 50+ yards in all of his last five games and you can him repeating that performance for -320.
On the other side of the ball Damien Martinez is a stud and he is coming off of a massive 4 TD game. He has rushed for 90+ yards in three of his last five games but he was just a few yards short of topping that number in all 5. For him to reach that threshold again we can get -230 odds.
Running Backs
There are three running backs that bring good odds into this Saturday slate. First off is our beloved Jawhar Jordan. He has been battling a hamstring injury but with two extra days rest he should be as healthy as he has been since the Notre Dame game. He has rushed for 2+ TD’s in 2 of his last 5 and in a must win game I can see them riding him again this weekend. For +290 odds it is worth a dart.
Last week Texas suffered a huge loss with star running back Jonathon Brooks tearing his ACL. CJ Baxter will be the back who is asked to step up and replace that production. Baxter has a ton of talent and you get him to break the 100 yard mark at +215 odds.
DJ Giddens for Kansas State has been very consistent this year and he has rushed for over 80 yards in three of his last four games. Kansas’s defense is not good and I want a piece of the KSU team so for -175 I think this is where I will go.
Week 12 Betting Ticket
Bet: CJ Baxter 100+, Rome Odunze 100+, Joe Milton 250+
Units Bet: .1
Odds +2473
Bet: Carson Beck 250+, Joe Milton 200+, Squirrel White 40+, Dajijun Edwards 60+
Units Bet: .25
Odds: +300
Bet: Bryson Barnes 200+
Units Bet: .2
Odds: +500
Bet: Jawhar Jordan 2+ TDS
Uints Bet: .1
Odds: +290
Bet: Squirrel White 40+, Daijun Edwards 60+, Damien Martinez 80=, Ja’Lynn Polk 50+, DJ Giddens 80+, Tetairoa McMillian 60+, Brennan Presley 50+
Units Bet: .25
Odds: +1125
Bet: Jalyn Wright 100+
Units Bet: .1
Odds: +800
Bet: Daijun Edward 100+
Units Bet: .1
Odds: +230
Bet: Jonah Coleman 70+
Units Bet:.1
Odds: +160
Bet: Brennan Presley 50+, Jack Velling 50+, Jonah Coleman 50+, Tetairoa McMillian 60+
Units Bet: .25
Odds: +500
Bet: Ja’Lynn Polk 50+, Rome Odunze 80+, Jack Velling 50+, Damien Martinez 90+
Units Bet: .25
Odds +410
