The State of Louisville

College Football Week 8 Betting Guide

Louisville football is on a bye, but the college football slate could have more big-money opportunities than ever.

For tracking purposes, 1 unit will be equal to $100

Week 7 Recap

Season Starting Money: $1000

Week 7 Starting Money: $1255

There is not much we can learn from week 6 when it comes to our bets. We could not have been unluckier.

We nailed the Washington-Oregon game and how it would play out, but we could not account for Jalen McMillian playing 3 plays and then getting reinjured.  

In our player prop, we had an injured Jawhar Jordan and a Michigan team that faded Blake Corum in the second half. You win some, you lose some. 

Week 8 Starting Money: $1055


Texas vs Houston 

The game that I want to target this week is Texas vs Houston. Both offenses have the ability to put up points quickly and both of these defenses have shown that they can be beaten at times.

For Houston, everything runs through Quarterback Donovan Smith. He is their most dynamic runner and can sling the ball around the field. He has thrown for over 225 yards in every game this year so we will take his 225 alternate passing yards line.

Houston has two explosive receivers in Golden and Brown, but the most consistent receiver has been Joseph Manjack. He has over 50 receiving yards in every game except one and if we are betting that Smith will continue to play well then we need to include his Mr. Reliable in the parlay. 

We will play his 50+ yard alternate receiving line.

On the Texas side of the ball, we have far more clarity on who the number one options are on the team. Since week 3, Johnathon Brooks has been the clear RB1 and he has the volume and production to be a solid addition to a parlay.

He has over 100 yards in every game since that week 3 mark, so we will take his 100-yard alternate rushing line.

Our final play for this game will be the WR1 for the Longhorns Xavier Worthy. This is the one alternate line that I think you could increase to up the payout. Houston has allowed teams to walk all over them at times and if someone was really going to pop off for Texas my bet would be that the player is Xavier Worthy.

For the sake of this bet we will take his 60-yard alternate line.

Parlay:

Donovan Smith OVER 225 passing yards

Joseph Manjack OVER 50 receiving yards

Johnathon Brooks OVER 100 rushing yards

Xavier Worthy OVER 60 receiving yards

Units Bet: 1

Odds: +198


YOLO Parlay

This week we are going to target 3 receivers to have big days and see if we can hit a big payout with 1 bet. 

We will start with the best receiver in college football, Marvin Harrison Jr. He is elite and, in my opinion, he should be the number 1 draft pick this offseason over Caleb Williams. He has over 100 receiving yards in 4 games this season and he has a chance to really prove himself this week against a good Penn State defense.  

Jalil Farooq will be our second addition to this bet. Farooq has been the big play receiver for the Sooners all year, but he has struggled to get consistent volume. Oklahoma lost one of their top targets for the season during the Texas game and I would bet that some of that volume will go to Farooq. 

Finally, we will target my favorite player to bet on Luther Burden. He did not play well against Kentucky, but every other week he has been a lock to hit the 100-yard mark. South Carolina has not played well this year on defense, so I expect him to have a big bounce-back performance.

Parlay:

Marvin Harrison Jr. 100+ receiving yards

Luther Burden 100+ receiving yards

Jalil Farooq 100+ receiving yards

Units Bet: 1

Odds: +1187

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