The State of Louisville

College Football Week 9 Betting Guide

Previewing the Week 9 slate with a parlay of the week. Will luck be on our side after two consecutive heartbreaking weekends?

For tracking purposes, 1 unit will be equal to $100

Week 8 Recap

Season Starting Money: $1000

Week 8 Starting Money: $1155

Two weeks in a row of the world’s worst possible luck. 

In week 8 we targeted the Texas vs Houston game and once again we nailed the game and the projections. Our big parlay included Johnathon Brooks getting 100 yards. He finished with 99 yards and was taken out of the game right before a 10-yard TD run by the backup RB.

It was a painful finish on what should have been a $400-$600 payday. 

Time to get off the mat after two brutal weeks and bounce back in week 9.

Week 9 Starting Money: $955

Oklahoma vs Kansas

There are not a ton of games that jump out to me this week as games we can attack. The one game that does stand out is Oklahoma vs Kansas. The issue with this game is that both teams can spread the ball around which can make betting these teams frustrating. 

When you want to bet Oklahoma you have to start with Dillion Gabriel. He can throw, run, and calls his own number in the red zone. I would feel comfortable with adding him as an anytime TD scorer, 25+ rushing yard, or 250+ passing yards

For me, I will lean towards taking his passing prop. He has thrown for over 250 yards in every game except one and I see no reason why that wouldn’t continue against this Kansas defense that just gave up over 330 yards to average Allen Bowman. 

Last week I targeted receiver Jalil Farooq to be the player who would step up in Andrel’s absence and soak up the additional targets. That did not happen, instead Nic Anderson took those targets and had a big day. In addition to not receiving the targets Oklahoma kept lining Farooq up as the running back for no apparent reason. I am going to double down in the long run that Farooq will be the guy in this offense when the season ends, but for now you have to play it a little safe.

For this bet I will add Farooq 40+ yards and Nic Anderson 50+ yards.

Kansas is a team that will spread the ball around to an annoying degree. I don’t feel comfortable with either Quarterback or any Receiver. The only player with any consistency is Devin Neal. He has rushed for over 60 yards in every game except one and that is the only Kansas piece I want in this parlay. 

Parlay:

Dillion Gabriel 250+ passing yards
Jalil Farooq 40+ receiving yards
Nic Anderson 50+ receiving yards
Devin Neal 60+ rushing yards

Units Bet: .5

Odds: +146

Week 9 Targets

As mentioned above, there are not many spots that I am excited to attack this Saturday. I will not have any other official bets for the week, but the other game that stands out to me is Colorado vs UCLA.

Colorado’s defense is a great unit to target when you are looking for props to attack.

This week Carson Steele and J. Michael Sturdivant are the two UCLA players that I would look to include in parlays. Sturdivant has over 50 yards in 4 of his last 5 games and Carson Steele is a reliable 60+ yard rusher. 

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